Two-and-a-half weeks out from polling day, Natalie Mast sat down with elections expert William Bowe to discuss the 12 candidates, the major parties' campaigns, and key issues in Canning. Though the Turnbull Government was just four days old, their candidate Andrew Hastie retained the seat for the Liberals, despite having to rely on preferences after a substantial, though dampened, primary (4.15%) and two-party (6.55%) swing away from the Liberals solidly less than the double-digit swings polls had predicted under an Abbott Government however, some double-digit swings did eventuate among the northern suburban booths. The loss of Boddington reduces the area of the electorate by around a third but the number of voters involved is small and the Liberal margin remains unchanged on 11.6%. The 2015 Canning by-election was held for the Australian House of Representatives on Saturday 19 September from 8 am to 6 pm WST. Abbott is on record saying the government doesnt fund rail projects. Pursuit of Global Equality, Respect, Environmental Stability, Honesty thru Reflective, Ethical Contemplation and Consultation Abbott's opponents didn't wait for the by-election, with the coup that installed Malcolm Turnbull as Prime Minister coming in the final week of the by-election campaign. Address the learning gap created by disruption of the novel coronavirus pandemic in the 2020/2021 school year. Compare their meagre vanity, arrogance, & propagandising, to the squalid excesses of the PM, Dan Andrews, or KK. About 4% could be attributed to the loss of Randalls personal vote, with another 4% attributed to the usual midterm anti-government sentiment. Hastie was appointed Assistant Minister for Defence in December 2020. Redistributions of electoral boundaries are taken into account and may produce notional results for any electoral division in a redistributed state or territory. I will continue to understand the need to offer students a variety of educational opportunities so that they can explore more subject and educational content so as they have to start to choose a career path, they have had a variety of experiences to help with the decision-making process, she said. Liberal MP Andrew Hastie, who has held onto the seat for close to seven years, lives in Mandurah with his wife Ruth and three children Jonathan, Beatrice, and Jemimah. By working together, both the City of Avon and the Avon Local Schools ensure that the city of Avon is a destination school district where parents want to raise their children. Canning received a degree from the University of Oregon School of Law. William Bowe does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment. Andrew Hastie is under no threat whatsoever. The Liberal Party won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all four areas, ranging from 56.8% in Mandurah North to 62.5% in the south. Sadie Canning was Western Australia's, and . James Waldeck lives in Mandurah and has provided for his family of six by working in various management and supervisor roles in a multitude of industries. Theres bound to be some areas that are supportive of the rhetoric otherwise why would the Libs decided to be so hawkish. [6], Since 1984, federal electoral division boundaries in Australia have been determined at redistributions by a redistribution committee appointed by the Australian Electoral Commission. Upon completion of our new Performing Arts Center, I am looking forward to hearing ideas of how we can maximize the use of this wonderful facility to benefit our students and our community.. Ms Siwes said she had endured the vaccine mandates so was seeking to bring about a new wave of unity, solidarity and nationality during this federal campaign. June 8, 2022. So Id doubt that his emergence was entirely down to the local party branches. The Australian Electoral Commission notes the seat has its etymology in Alfred Canning, a "surveyor who pioneered stock roads . Gardiner left school at 15, studying first at TAFE then Curtin University where he earned an Arts degree. We care about the protection of your data. Then the successful leadership challenge from Julia Gillard made the government look unstable. In 2019, he won the seat by 21,002 votes. Federal election campaigning is in full swing as Prime Minister Scott Morrison and Opposition Leader Anthony Albanese face off on the national stage. He said he was tired of living under a bureaucratic dictatorship and in speaking with family, friends and people in the community he believed many Australians felt the same. (Victories by a party of government are indicated by thick coloured underlining. I am committed to transparency. Presumably there comes a time when the electorate says now hang on a minute, and the advantage passes to Labor who can oppose what the government is doing without the public accepting that Labor is soft on terror. Seeing the mandates impacting workers and small businesses he decided to join the Liberal Democrats as he said the party advocated for greater freedoms. Canning starts at Armadale and surrounding suburbs in Perth's south-east suburbs, but extends south down the South Western Highway to Waroona and along the Albany Highway to Boddington. You could score $50,000 for being the seasons top tipper. Id be really interested to know that, but I dont. Canning was held for Labor by George Gear from 1984 until 1996 when it fell to Liberal Ms Ricky Johnston at her fifth attempt to win the seat. A: Well, yes, that sort of sentiment probably does resonate in a place like Armadale. ( Map) Background First created in 1949, this electorate is named Alfred Canning, who pioneered stock routes and rabbit proof fencing in Western Australia. About half of the seats population is in the Mandurah council area, and this area has been split into Mandurah North and Mandurah South, along the river. The by-election in the seat of Canning was triggered by the death of sitting Liberal MP Don Randall on 21 July 2015. Does Labor have the makings of a wedge issue here? New Liberal candidate Andrew Hastie was elected despite the Liberal margin being halved by a 6.5% swing, the swing attracting less attention given it came after the change of leadership. As one of nine children, Tammi Siwes said she had seen her fair share of poverty and the toll on families caused by the injustices of the family law courts. @Redistributed Not from WA but my working assumption is something like West Gippsland between Pakenham and the Latrobe Valley, or Ipswich and the Lockyer Valley. ANGELA SMITH, SUSTAINABLE POPULATION PARTY. ABC News Homepage . This ethos eventually led her to a career in law. The popularity of former MP Randall also boosted the Liberal vote. None of the three main party candidates are able to vote in the election - Keogh and Hastie, who both moved into the electorate after being preselected, left it too late to change their enrolments. School board members earn $125 per board meeting, up to $250 a month, and are reimbursed for mileage for travel related to work for the school district, said district Treasurer Sadie Fox. Labor endorsed a high profile candidate for the 2010 election in Alannah MacTiernan, the former state MP for Armidale and Minister for Planning and Infrastructure through two terms of state Labor government. Candidate profile: Laura Chonko for Avon School Board, November 2021 I will ensure that Avons focus remains on academics while allocating district educational expenditures wisely, she said. Could have an impact especially if Hastie gets somehow involved in it due to his SAS history. We must end this discrimination. Her passion for disadvantaged and vulnerable population groups has been instrumental in her working across multiple health care settings in Australia, including emergency and critical care, forensics, and rural and remote work amongst the Aboriginal population. Kevin Rudd had a massive lead in the polls and Canning was on a narrow margin. Animal Justices lead candidate at the 2013 WA Senate election and 2014 WA Senate re-election. A list of profiles for Electorates A-Z in the Federal Election 2022. The Sunday Times and PerthNow asked the leaders of the three big parties, Liberals, Labor and Greens, to state their cases on why people should vote for them. Canning election candidates question and answer | ELECTION 2016. The division was created in 1949 and is named for Alfred Canning,[1] the Western Australian government surveyor who surveyed the Canning Stock Route. But that's just a small part of . From what I can see Labor hasnt named a candidate for the seat yet. You have entered an incorrect email address! I have both the life experience and work experience from being an army captain with logistics, human resources, strategic planning, negotiation and team leadership that I will apply for the people of Canning. The seat of Canning was named after WA's first Indigenous Australian nurse and matron and Alfred Canning who surveyed routes for the rabbit-proof fence from Starvation Harbour to Cape Keraudren and stock routes to bring cattle from the Kimberley to feed workers in the Goldfields. I support marriage equality because the state should not be discriminatory and all people in Australia are entitled to be treated equally. My feeling is that the Abbott government has narrowed itself to very few lines of attack national security and union corruption and it has overreached on both of them. Candidate profile: Tara Tatman for Avon School Board, November 2021 Randall was easily re-elected in 2004 after Labor twice changed its candidate, producing a 9.2% swing to Randall, the largest swing to the Liberal Party in the country. ), Liberal results in Canning have tracked the party's state-wide, though bit by bit Liberal results in Canning have risen above the state voting trend. Teede started her career as a primary school teacher and taught across regional Western Australia before before becoming the Managing Director of the regional TAFE college in the Goldfields-Esperence region. FREE footy tipping is here! Canning has been a seat for Labor like Greenway for the Liberals. Assistant Defence Minister Andrew Hastie currently holds the seat with a comfortable margin of 11.6 per cent but newcomer Amanda Hunt is hoping to win the seat in what would be a huge upset for the Liberals. A: I dont think that media attention on Hastie and his time in Afghanistan was ever going to hurt him certainly not without any evidence that he was involved with the controversies that happened there. Ben Roberts-Smith case of any impact do you think? He is a good fit for the electorate. The Division of Canning stretches from Byford and Carmel in the north to Wagerup in the south, and is largely based around the Peel region of Western Australia to the south of Perth. AEST = Australian Eastern Standard Time which is 10 hours ahead of GMT (Greenwich Mean Time). The city of Los Angeles, California, held general elections for mayor, city attorney, city controller, and city council on November 8, 2022. Hastie was re-elected with a swing against him in 2016, but restored the Liberal margin back to former levels at the 2019 election. . For Labor candidate Matt Keogh, I think Julie Bishops jibe that hes a hipster lawyer might bite a little. Originally a rural seat, Canning withdrew into the edges of Perth's metropolitan area over several decades. Canning lies just beyond the southern and south-eastern edge of the Perth metropolitan area. The civil litigation lawyer and environmental activist says she is driven by the chance to give future generations the same opportunities in life in education and in the environment. Click here to learn more about the city's mayoral election. For the latest information, searchABC Emergency, For the latestweather warnings in the Northern Territory, search onABC Emergency. The electorates also extends into Perth's Darling Range suburbs to include Karragullen and Roleystone. Skip to main content. Ms Congrene said the time was now to bring justice to the fore and make a difference at the federal level by removing the fear and restrictions impacting Australians. I have always believed Frydenburg will be the next Liberal leader provided he has a seat but they have never had a leader from WA, wont happen because you know what they did to JB, Daniel October 25, 2021 at 5:19 pm Hastie will be pm by 2028 is quite laughable it wont happen. There have been some minor changes to the boundary with Burt north of Armadale and rural Boddington Shire has been transferred to O'Connor. Demographically wise, what seat or area would Canning be similar to on the east coast? Presumably Bill Shorten will promise the support of a future federal Labor government for the scheme. The current margin seems very inflated and Canning has a history of very strong swings in both directions. Canning covers urban fringe and rural areas to the south of Perth, including Mandurah and most of the Peel region. It also includes suburbs of a more semi-rural nature in the Darling Scarp, including the Armadale suburbs of Ashendon, Bedfordale, Karragullen, Lesley, Mount Richon, Roleystone, and Wungong, part of the Gosnells suburb of Martin, and the Kalamunda suburbs of Canning Mills, Carmel, and Pickering Brook. Moffat is a lawyer and has other experience from working part time as a carbon rights officer and disability advocate during her university studies as a mature aged law student. Office details Connect Electorate details Electorate Office (Principal Office) Unit 2 61 Sutton Street Mandurah, WA, 6210 Postal address PO Box 968 Mandurah, WA, 6210 Telephone: (08) 9534 8044 Parliament Office PO Box 6022 House of Representatives Parliament House Canberra ACT 2600 Telephone: (02) 6277 4223 Speeches First speech Recent speech Canning was held for Labor by George Gear from 1984 until 1996 when it fell to Liberal Ms Ricky Johnston at her fifth attempt to win the seat. If elected, Mr Bedford believes he can make Canning and Western Australia an even better place for everyone to live. If re-elected he wanted to be a champion for health, prioritise building a pedestrian footbridge for Madora Bay and Lakelands, and bolster economic and job opportunities including in the defence sector. Q: Two-and-a-half weeks out, what are you seeing in the polling data? He was also been an adviser on Operation Sovereign Borders. . PVO either misspoke or has started making stupid predictions again. But who are the major candidates gunning for the local seat of Canning? Canning covers the entirety of the Mandurah, Murray, Serpentine-Jarrahdale and Waroona council areas, as well as parts of the Armadale, Gosnells and Kalamunda council areas. Its a foundational issue to society and people should decide, not the political elite. Some 22% of voters . What might happen at the Victorian and WA federal redistributions. Labor also endorsed a high profile candidate for the 2010 election in Alannah MacTiernan, the former state MP for Armidale and Minister for Planning and Infrastructure through two terms of state Labor government. the two-candidate-preferred results showing the percentages . LOS ANGELES Progressive Democrats were knocked on the defensive in their own party over crime and homelessness on Wednesday after voters in two high-profile California races . Working in the manufacturing industry, Brad Bedford hopes to bring manufacturing back to Australian shores to give youth increased opportunities. Randall tragic death would have aided the Liberals in the bye-election. Guess who will look the Goose !??? Since 1933, every open election for Los Angeles mayor has advanced to a general election. Could Australia follow suit? If Liberal candidate Andrew Hastie gets 47% of the primary vote, hes going to win by about 55-45. THERE are a dozen candidates in the Canning by-election on September 19. Who are they and what are the issues they are standing for? Why do we want a former SAS tough guy? It didnt matter to the former Member for Canning, Don Randall, if the issues were local, state or federal, he worked for the best outcome and thats what I intend to do. That said, I wouldnt be surprised if a great part of the electorate could be mollified by the sort of big-ticket road funding that the Abbott government will be promising. I absolutely support marriage equality. iN between we will have a labor PM, & historical footnote lib. Running for the second time, Jodie Moffat's campaign comes from a desire to fight for climate action and wanting children to have the same quality of life she had growing up. Also, unemployment is certainly becoming a problem in Armadale. I am passionate about building better cities, with better accessible public transport, more renewable energy and more affordable education. He isnt even on the senior frontbench right now so I dont see how he becomes leader after the 2025 election. Canning covers 4,245 square kilometres. However, ReachTEL has 80% of preferences from minor parties flowing to Labor, which is not believable. Canning is probably quite a fortuitous electorate for the Liberals to be facing a byelection in because its got a reasonably old and settled population profile. A candidate can win the election outright with more than 50% of the vote in the primary. Canning Paschim, West Bengal Election . She also has a heart for the homeless and disadvantaged and is actively involved in outreach programs that assist the homeless population. The third most important area currently is moving past the effects of the novel coronavirus pandemic. Hopefully he will be toppled since hes essentially another Dutton and is likely the hard rights replacement for Dutton after Dutton loses or retires. An environmental scientist who is also a mature-age arts/law student at Murdoch University. What happened to the climate change vote? Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. du Plessis is a Nurse Practitioner and works in General Practice and a variety of aged care facilities. Canning lies just beyond the southern and south-eastern edge of the Perth metropolitan area. Moffat is a civil litigation lawyer, mother and environmental activist. The former Uniting WA chief is the underdog in the race against Mr Hastie after he retained the seat for the Liberals at a by-election in 2015. For the early part of its history it was contested between the Liberal Party and the Country Party, and since the 1980s the seat has become much more of a Labor-Liberal marginal seat, usually being held by the party winning government. By Nathan Hondros. In 2007, WorkChoices didnt resonate in WA because we were in a sellers market for labour due to the boom. Maybe Andrew Hasties hawkish stance on China helped him here. Yoh An Yes. However, Randalls personal vote was estimated to be around 5%. Chonko said she will listen to Avon parents and voters. I know Andrew Hastie was considered a rising star in the Liberal party. Assessment Canning is a safe Liberal seat. But Im not sure if thats common, if theyre happy about it or how theyre seen within WA. Rockpool SLAMMED over forced tip rule stinging customers, Giving up 30-year tradition leads couple to FAT lotto win, How WA prisoner is raking in money to splash on Gucci items, Truckie falls ASLEEP and rolls $500k race car in Wheatbelt, West Australian Newspapers Limited 2023. The landscape of the seat has changed over time, originally being a rural seat, then moving towards southern metropolitan areas and now taking in Mandurah. You have to remember that back in 2010, Don Randall was MP here, and he would have been the reason MacTiernan lost. Rudd then took it off the agenda and proposed a mining tax which did huge damage to his popularity in the polls. Armadale, though, is a different story, because its fairly blue-collar and has a lot of first-home buyers. Heading into the election, the last time a candidate won . The by-election in the seat of Canning was triggered by the death of sitting Liberal MP Don Randall on 21 July 2015. He now works in the resources sector. Candidate profile: Matt Canning for Avon School Board, November 2021 Voters in the Avon School District will pick three school board members from among six candidates on the Nov. 2 ballot. This screen shows the results for a particular division. Defeating Gerick was Don Randall, who had previously represented Swan 1996-98. Minister for Industry, Energy and Emissions Reduction Angus Taylor, left, and Federal Member for Canning Andrew Hastie at Alcoa Pinjarra Alumina Refinery. AEST = Australian Eastern Standard Time which is 10 hours ahead of GMT (Greenwich Mean Time). The AEC acknowledges the Traditional Owners of country throughout Australia and recognises their continuing connection to land, waters, culture and community. Q: The one issue that seems to be resonating with the electorate is crime, which is fundamentally a state issue. Having worked for mineral exploration companies, and following postgraduate studies, Gardiner moved to the eastern states and completed a Master of Natural Resources. I am elected to represent you and serve as your voice, she said. The Federal election is on Saturday, May 21. Hastie did very well in 2019 as well. I truly see Hastie as Australias JFK. It would be very handy for parts of the electorate to have the Armadale line extended to Byford. Before being elected at a 2015 by-election, Hastie was a serving SAS Captain and undertook several overseas deployments in Afghanistan and the Middle East. The Division of Canning is a massive 4245sqkm and consists of Mandurah City Council, Murray Shire Council, Serpentine-Jarrahdale Shire Council, Waroona Shire Council, part of the Armadale City Council, part of the Gosnells City Council, and part of the Kalamunda City Council. Returning to develop an agricultural project in southwest WA, Gardiner has since pursued a passion for writing and publishing in various contracts over the past 15 years, and maintains a strong interest in defence matters. WA is largely a mystery to me. Originally a rural seat, Canning withdrew into the edges of Perth's metropolitan area over several decades. Greens candidate Jodie Moffat is again standing for Canning after running in the 2019 election. Political analysts agreed the by-election was a "good outcome for both major parties". Q: And an FTA will open up the markets for our dairy and meat exporters. A: I think if the Liberals can limit the swing to below 8%, they can spin that. First created in 1949, this electorate is named Alfred Canning, who pioneered stock routes and rabbit proof fencing in Western Australia. Updated June 22 2016 - 3:56pm, first published 12:23pm. The Liberal Party has held the seat since 2001. Mandurah has a significant retiree population who dont tend to be all that volatile in their voting behaviour. Two-and-a-half weeks out from polling day, Natalie Mast sat down with elections expert William Bowe to discuss the 12 candidates, the major parties campaigns and the key issues in Canning. As Hastie gains more prominence in the hard right faction of the Liberal Party, he may be seen as a Dutton 2.0 which might make him the target of Getup or other such groups. With a couple of days to go until it's time to hit the voting booths on May 21, the Mail has summed up what your local candidates are advocating for. Candidate profile: John Weigman for Avon School Board, November 2021 Freo favourite set to expand on Cappuccino Strip, Survey sees call to bring Nedlands into the 21st century, Get your tickets for Perths most celebrated social event, Ripple effect: Footballers reflect on horror bombings, West Australian Newspapers Limited 2023. 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